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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.37+3.77vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.79+1.74vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.16+2.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.27+1.06vs Predicted
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5Olin College of Engineering0.46+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.24-2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.91+3.31vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.69-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.52-1.97vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-2.05vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.37+1.98vs Predicted
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12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.36-0.53vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.03-2.31vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.30-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Northeastern University1.370.1%1st Place
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3.74Northeastern University1.790.2%1st Place
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5.29Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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5.06Tufts University1.270.1%1st Place
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7.19Olin College of Engineering0.460.0%1st Place
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3.06University of Rhode Island2.240.3%1st Place
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10.31University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.910.0%1st Place
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6.47Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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7.03University of Vermont0.520.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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12.98Massachusetts Maritime Academy-2.370.0%1st Place
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11.47Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.360.0%1st Place
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10.69University of New Hampshire-1.030.0%1st Place
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9.0University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dillon | 10.8% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Everett Nash | 17.8% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Snow | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Declan Botwinick | 27.0% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 20.4% | 18.3% | 6.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Cady | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Filippo Tagliavia | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 16.7% | 62.1% |
| Jack Eddy | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 28.0% | 17.5% |
| Will Rudaz | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 21.0% | 10.2% |
| Kate Myler | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 13.3% | 7.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.