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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.66vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.73+2.78vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40-0.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59-0.26vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44-0.84vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66U. S. Naval Academy2.6026.7%1st Place
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4.78Christopher Newport University0.735.9%1st Place
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2.82Georgetown University2.4023.6%1st Place
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3.74Old Dominion University1.5912.0%1st Place
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4.16George Washington University1.448.2%1st Place
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2.83St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 26.7% | 24.4% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 48.4% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 23.6% | 22.2% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 3.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 20.6% | 21.8% | 15.9% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.2% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 18.3% | 26.2% | 23.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.5% | 23.1% | 20.6% | 16.7% | 11.6% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.