Race 1A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

14.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Perham Black 7.8% 10.5% 10.2% 9.6% 8.5% 9.7% 9.0% 6.7% 7.3% 7.3% 5.0% 4.3% 2.9% 1.2%
Jonas Nelle 12.1% 12.5% 12.6% 10.4% 10.1% 8.5% 10.4% 8.0% 4.7% 4.7% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5%
Nathan Olmsted 11.6% 12.2% 9.8% 9.7% 9.3% 9.7% 8.2% 8.6% 7.3% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5%
Aidan Hoogland 19.3% 17.0% 15.2% 11.5% 10.4% 8.1% 7.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Ted Bjerregaard 4.2% 5.4% 5.7% 7.9% 6.6% 7.9% 7.5% 7.5% 9.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.1% 6.9% 3.3%
Luke Quine 2.0% 3.3% 2.1% 2.6% 3.2% 4.5% 3.0% 5.0% 6.8% 8.1% 9.5% 11.8% 16.3% 21.8%
Gregory Walters 3.2% 3.6% 3.7% 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 5.2% 5.0% 7.2% 9.3% 11.3% 11.4% 12.1% 13.5%
Christine Reimer 3.7% 4.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.2% 5.3% 5.2% 6.5% 6.8% 9.1% 9.8% 12.0% 11.7% 12.6%
Graham Ness 8.7% 7.4% 8.3% 7.3% 8.1% 10.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.1% 7.3% 6.8% 4.9% 2.3% 1.2%
Connor Sheridan 7.4% 6.3% 8.0% 10.1% 9.6% 8.1% 7.4% 8.5% 9.2% 9.2% 6.4% 5.8% 1.9% 2.1%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.8% 7.7% 9.3% 11.5% 9.6% 9.5% 9.4% 9.3% 5.6% 5.9% 4.8% 3.5% 2.5% 0.6%
Jacob Macdonald 3.6% 4.1% 5.1% 4.4% 5.9% 5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4% 9.9% 9.6% 9.7% 9.2% 7.6%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.6% 3.1% 4.5% 4.0% 4.7% 4.3% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 10.3% 11.8% 14.1% 9.5%
Mott Blair 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 2.3% 3.6% 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 6.2% 5.3% 9.3% 11.2% 17.4% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.