Race 2A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 11.4% 10.0% 12.2% 11.7% 10.3% 10.3% 8.6% 8.3% 7.1% 5.3% 2.8% 1.6% 0.4%
Jonas Nelle 12.3% 9.9% 13.7% 12.2% 9.7% 9.9% 8.4% 8.0% 6.3% 4.1% 3.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Perham Black 7.0% 9.5% 9.9% 10.0% 9.8% 9.3% 10.3% 9.8% 8.6% 7.3% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.5% 6.0% 5.8% 5.8% 9.8% 7.0% 9.3% 9.0% 10.3% 9.3% 9.4% 8.5% 4.3%
Graham Ness 8.9% 9.9% 9.0% 8.6% 9.7% 8.6% 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 6.6% 5.8% 3.6% 0.8%
Luke Quine 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 4.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.5% 6.9% 7.1% 9.9% 12.8% 19.1% 19.8%
Connor Sheridan 9.8% 8.3% 7.9% 9.5% 7.3% 9.7% 8.9% 9.2% 9.5% 8.1% 6.7% 3.3% 1.8%
Aidan Hoogland 20.4% 16.8% 14.0% 14.1% 11.4% 9.0% 5.6% 3.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Jacob Macdonald 4.4% 5.5% 3.5% 5.4% 5.9% 6.2% 7.9% 8.1% 9.7% 12.1% 11.4% 10.3% 9.6%
Gregory Walters 3.2% 3.7% 3.9% 3.9% 3.2% 5.2% 7.6% 6.6% 9.2% 10.2% 12.0% 14.4% 16.9%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.6% 11.2% 11.4% 9.6% 10.2% 11.8% 8.0% 8.8% 6.2% 6.0% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.6% 4.2% 4.0% 2.8% 6.4% 5.3% 6.3% 7.6% 7.7% 11.0% 13.2% 15.8% 13.1%
Mott Blair 1.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 3.2% 3.9% 4.4% 4.5% 6.6% 8.4% 13.2% 17.0% 30.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.