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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.00+2.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University1.25+6.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.07+3.37vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.13+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.90+4.50vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.20-0.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50-1.95vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.74-0.76vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-3.65vs Predicted
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10The Citadel1.11-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.47-3.11vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.34-6.34vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85Roger Williams University3.000.2%1st Place
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8.74Boston University1.250.0%1st Place
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6.37Tufts University2.070.1%1st Place
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6.17Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Vermont0.900.0%1st Place
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5.88Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University1.740.1%1st Place
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5.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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9.05The Citadel1.110.0%1st Place
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7.89University of Wisconsin1.470.0%1st Place
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5.66University of Rhode Island2.340.1%1st Place
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10.26Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Hoogland | 18.8% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Connor Sheridan | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Graham Ness | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Luke Quine | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 20.9% |
| Perham Black | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Jonas Nelle | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Ted Bjerregaard | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Gregory Walters | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 16.5% |
| Jacob Macdonald | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Mott Blair | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 13.5% | 17.6% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.