Race 4A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Sheridan 8.0% 6.6% 11.1% 9.2% 7.6% 9.8% 9.1% 9.0% 10.1% 6.9% 7.7% 2.9% 2.0%
Joshua Bartoszuk 8.9% 11.6% 10.4% 10.2% 10.5% 10.1% 9.0% 8.3% 8.2% 5.5% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8%
Jonas Nelle 10.7% 13.5% 12.3% 9.0% 11.9% 9.4% 10.4% 8.3% 5.1% 4.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.5%
Jacob Macdonald 3.8% 4.8% 5.3% 5.2% 6.0% 6.3% 7.8% 7.9% 10.4% 12.0% 11.0% 11.3% 8.2%
Graham Ness 9.4% 9.0% 8.9% 10.6% 8.2% 8.5% 9.2% 10.4% 7.9% 7.0% 6.1% 3.5% 1.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.3% 3.8% 4.5% 3.1% 5.7% 6.9% 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 12.4% 12.3% 14.9% 10.3%
Nathan Olmsted 12.7% 11.3% 10.6% 12.3% 9.4% 10.0% 9.0% 7.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 2.0% 0.6%
Aidan Hoogland 20.8% 18.1% 12.9% 13.1% 11.6% 9.0% 5.7% 4.5% 1.7% 1.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.2% 5.5% 5.9% 6.5% 7.9% 7.2% 8.8% 10.2% 9.4% 9.7% 8.9% 8.4% 5.4%
Perham Black 10.1% 8.5% 10.0% 9.4% 11.1% 7.8% 9.0% 8.9% 8.4% 7.7% 3.6% 3.7% 1.8%
Luke Quine 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 4.7% 4.1% 5.1% 4.9% 6.2% 8.1% 9.6% 14.5% 14.7% 21.0%
Gregory Walters 2.1% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 4.0% 6.4% 6.0% 5.8% 8.1% 9.4% 14.1% 17.1% 16.4%
Mott Blair 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.0% 3.5% 4.9% 5.8% 6.2% 8.6% 10.9% 18.0% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.