Race 5A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 10.5% 11.1% 12.8% 10.5% 10.3% 10.0% 9.6% 7.9% 8.0% 4.2% 3.4% 1.6% 0.1%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.2% 9.2% 11.5% 10.1% 11.0% 9.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.1% 6.6% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Jonas Nelle 10.9% 12.4% 10.7% 11.8% 10.6% 12.1% 8.7% 7.6% 5.6% 4.9% 3.3% 0.9% 0.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 4.4% 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 7.2% 9.2% 11.4% 12.3% 15.4% 12.0%
Aidan Hoogland 20.6% 18.2% 14.2% 12.7% 10.7% 7.7% 6.4% 3.1% 3.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Graham Ness 9.4% 7.8% 8.7% 9.6% 9.8% 9.4% 9.8% 9.4% 8.0% 6.7% 6.1% 4.0% 1.3%
Connor Sheridan 9.7% 7.4% 10.0% 8.4% 8.0% 8.8% 9.6% 9.0% 9.6% 6.7% 7.4% 3.9% 1.5%
Jacob Macdonald 4.4% 5.8% 4.3% 5.0% 6.0% 6.5% 8.4% 7.7% 11.0% 10.2% 13.2% 10.6% 6.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.5% 8.5% 7.2% 7.8% 11.7% 9.2% 9.6% 10.3% 7.0% 5.1%
Luke Quine 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 3.0% 4.1% 5.3% 6.8% 7.4% 10.2% 11.3% 16.9% 22.8%
Perham Black 8.8% 11.1% 9.0% 11.1% 9.7% 9.6% 9.5% 8.7% 6.9% 7.6% 4.4% 2.5% 1.1%
Gregory Walters 2.6% 3.5% 2.7% 4.7% 4.6% 4.9% 5.6% 6.8% 8.7% 9.7% 11.9% 17.5% 16.8%
Mott Blair 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 5.4% 6.3% 9.6% 11.7% 17.1% 31.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.