Race 6A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 11.1% 11.2% 11.7% 11.3% 9.4% 10.3% 9.4% 7.6% 8.5% 3.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.3%
Jonas Nelle 12.2% 11.1% 12.9% 12.4% 9.4% 9.7% 7.9% 8.0% 7.4% 4.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Aidan Hoogland 19.7% 16.7% 14.5% 12.5% 12.7% 7.9% 6.2% 4.6% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Jacob Macdonald 3.1% 5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 5.4% 6.4% 8.1% 9.3% 9.2% 12.2% 10.2% 13.1% 7.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.0% 3.6% 4.2% 4.9% 5.0% 6.4% 7.5% 6.5% 8.4% 11.1% 13.8% 13.2% 11.4%
Graham Ness 9.7% 8.5% 8.5% 7.7% 11.4% 9.7% 9.1% 9.0% 7.6% 6.9% 6.7% 4.0% 1.2%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.2% 10.8% 11.4% 9.6% 10.0% 9.9% 8.4% 7.8% 7.9% 5.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.7%
Connor Sheridan 7.4% 8.8% 8.1% 9.1% 8.0% 9.7% 10.0% 10.7% 9.2% 7.6% 5.8% 4.0% 1.6%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.4% 6.9% 4.6% 7.3% 7.4% 6.9% 9.2% 9.8% 10.2% 10.1% 9.7% 7.5% 5.0%
Luke Quine 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 4.9% 7.1% 7.3% 9.4% 13.0% 16.0% 22.6%
Perham Black 9.3% 10.7% 10.2% 10.1% 10.4% 9.2% 8.9% 8.6% 6.5% 7.5% 4.7% 2.3% 1.6%
Mott Blair 1.6% 1.4% 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.1% 4.1% 4.3% 6.9% 8.3% 10.5% 19.7% 30.5%
Gregory Walters 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.3% 6.7% 8.3% 11.6% 13.1% 15.2% 17.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.