Race 7A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 13.1% 9.2% 12.7% 10.8% 11.4% 10.0% 10.3% 6.4% 6.3% 5.1% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Connor Sheridan 7.2% 7.9% 8.5% 8.7% 9.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 7.9% 8.8% 6.6% 3.9% 2.0%
Joshua Bartoszuk 9.4% 9.8% 11.3% 10.8% 10.4% 8.7% 10.7% 9.0% 7.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0%
Aidan Hoogland 20.3% 17.5% 15.0% 11.6% 9.8% 9.3% 6.3% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.2%
Nathan Olmsted 11.1% 12.5% 12.3% 10.0% 10.1% 8.9% 9.9% 9.0% 6.2% 4.6% 2.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.1% 3.3% 4.2% 4.9% 4.4% 6.0% 5.9% 7.8% 10.8% 11.4% 12.8% 11.7% 12.7%
Jacob Macdonald 5.5% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 5.3% 7.9% 7.3% 8.0% 10.0% 9.9% 12.4% 10.4% 7.7%
Gregory Walters 3.0% 4.5% 3.3% 3.8% 4.1% 4.7% 5.8% 8.0% 8.8% 10.0% 12.2% 17.4% 14.4%
Luke Quine 2.3% 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 3.8% 4.3% 7.6% 6.1% 9.1% 13.0% 17.5% 23.3%
Perham Black 9.3% 8.4% 9.0% 12.1% 10.0% 9.4% 7.7% 7.4% 8.9% 7.4% 5.4% 3.6% 1.4%
Graham Ness 7.7% 11.5% 8.3% 9.3% 9.8% 10.2% 9.2% 9.1% 9.2% 6.7% 4.5% 2.6% 1.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.3% 5.6% 5.2% 7.0% 8.4% 8.4% 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 10.5% 10.7% 8.4% 5.0%
Mott Blair 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.3% 3.1% 2.6% 5.1% 5.0% 6.6% 8.8% 12.1% 18.9% 29.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.