Race 8A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 12.3% 12.0% 11.4% 10.4% 11.7% 10.1% 10.1% 6.9% 5.9% 5.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.4%
Aidan Hoogland 19.7% 17.7% 15.6% 14.4% 8.8% 8.5% 5.0% 4.5% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Luke Quine 1.9% 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 3.6% 5.0% 5.2% 6.3% 8.3% 9.5% 11.6% 19.4% 21.9%
Connor Sheridan 7.6% 8.3% 8.6% 9.5% 8.5% 8.8% 10.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 7.1% 4.1% 1.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.2% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 5.1% 6.4% 6.7% 6.4% 8.7% 10.1% 15.4% 13.4% 11.1%
Nathan Olmsted 11.6% 11.7% 12.4% 11.1% 8.5% 10.7% 9.6% 7.7% 5.8% 5.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Perham Black 10.1% 9.7% 9.1% 9.6% 8.6% 10.0% 8.4% 9.9% 8.4% 8.0% 4.7% 2.7% 0.8%
Graham Ness 7.2% 9.7% 9.6% 7.7% 10.0% 9.9% 9.8% 11.1% 7.9% 6.4% 5.7% 3.4% 1.6%
Gregory Walters 3.0% 3.6% 3.0% 3.7% 4.7% 4.1% 5.3% 7.4% 9.9% 11.0% 11.0% 16.5% 16.8%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.7% 10.0% 9.0% 11.5% 12.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.8% 6.1% 5.7% 3.8% 3.1% 1.2%
Jacob Macdonald 4.0% 4.7% 6.1% 5.9% 6.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 11.8% 9.5% 10.5% 10.3% 7.4%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.3% 4.7% 6.0% 7.1% 8.8% 8.1% 8.2% 7.6% 9.6% 12.1% 10.5% 7.5% 4.5%
Mott Blair 1.4% 2.4% 2.3% 1.7% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 5.8% 6.2% 8.2% 13.0% 15.9% 32.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.