Race 10A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Olmsted 11.4% 10.7% 12.6% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 9.0% 6.9% 7.7% 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6%
Graham Ness 8.4% 7.9% 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 9.4% 8.5% 5.3% 3.4% 1.5%
Jonas Nelle 10.9% 13.2% 11.6% 10.6% 9.7% 11.5% 9.3% 7.6% 6.0% 4.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Connor Sheridan 8.0% 7.0% 9.3% 10.3% 9.4% 6.4% 10.4% 9.4% 8.8% 8.3% 6.4% 4.9% 1.4%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.6% 12.5% 9.6% 10.4% 8.9% 10.5% 9.3% 8.3% 6.9% 5.6% 4.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.4% 5.5% 5.8% 8.2% 7.9% 7.6% 7.5% 11.3% 9.1% 9.1% 10.2% 7.8% 3.6%
Perham Black 10.2% 8.8% 9.4% 8.8% 9.6% 9.9% 10.5% 8.6% 7.1% 7.8% 4.6% 3.4% 1.3%
Jacob Macdonald 4.1% 5.9% 5.4% 4.8% 5.2% 6.7% 7.3% 10.1% 9.6% 10.3% 12.1% 11.8% 6.7%
Aidan Hoogland 19.8% 17.7% 14.1% 12.6% 10.7% 8.4% 5.8% 4.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.1% 3.3% 4.1% 3.8% 4.9% 6.9% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 10.6% 11.3% 15.2% 13.2%
Gregory Walters 2.4% 3.1% 4.0% 5.8% 5.8% 4.5% 5.2% 7.5% 8.6% 11.1% 14.4% 13.3% 14.3%
Luke Quine 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 5.0% 5.6% 3.6% 8.0% 9.4% 12.4% 15.8% 25.9%
Mott Blair 1.7% 1.7% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 4.5% 5.4% 7.5% 8.3% 10.4% 19.5% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.