Race 11A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 11.9% 12.3% 11.9% 11.7% 10.5% 10.3% 8.6% 8.6% 5.7% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.5%
Aidan Hoogland 21.2% 17.0% 15.5% 13.0% 10.3% 7.7% 6.1% 4.9% 2.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Graham Ness 7.0% 8.9% 11.5% 8.3% 8.7% 9.8% 9.6% 9.4% 9.1% 7.1% 6.2% 3.1% 1.3%
Connor Sheridan 7.6% 8.7% 7.4% 9.9% 9.6% 10.3% 8.5% 9.3% 7.9% 9.4% 6.6% 3.4% 1.4%
Perham Black 10.3% 8.8% 9.8% 10.7% 9.8% 9.0% 8.9% 9.9% 6.6% 7.5% 4.7% 3.0% 1.0%
Luke Quine 3.0% 2.0% 3.1% 3.2% 4.8% 3.9% 5.8% 5.7% 8.8% 8.7% 13.4% 19.0% 18.6%
Nathan Olmsted 12.7% 12.5% 11.2% 9.3% 11.5% 11.0% 8.8% 7.4% 5.6% 5.3% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.9% 7.0% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 8.4% 9.8% 10.5% 10.4% 10.8% 7.9% 7.5% 2.7%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.0% 10.3% 12.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.6% 8.5% 8.1% 8.4% 5.5% 4.0% 2.6% 0.3%
Gregory Walters 3.4% 3.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.5% 4.7% 7.5% 8.1% 9.5% 10.4% 11.4% 15.1% 15.0%
Nicholas Hardy 2.1% 1.6% 1.9% 5.3% 4.1% 4.4% 5.0% 6.1% 8.0% 10.1% 13.6% 15.7% 22.1%
Jacob Macdonald 3.5% 4.9% 4.0% 5.7% 7.0% 7.5% 7.7% 7.4% 9.2% 11.5% 14.2% 9.3% 8.1%
Mott Blair 1.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.4% 2.7% 3.4% 5.2% 4.6% 8.7% 8.1% 12.2% 18.3% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.