Race 12A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jonas Nelle 12.5% 12.0% 12.0% 10.6% 11.8% 9.8% 8.3% 7.7% 6.0% 5.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Aidan Hoogland 20.5% 17.2% 15.8% 12.1% 11.9% 7.3% 6.2% 4.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Sheridan 6.9% 8.1% 10.1% 9.0% 8.3% 8.9% 10.0% 10.9% 9.1% 6.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.2%
Nathan Olmsted 10.9% 12.5% 11.2% 12.7% 8.9% 9.2% 9.5% 7.7% 7.2% 5.3% 3.4% 1.0% 0.5%
Perham Black 10.5% 9.2% 10.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.3% 10.1% 9.3% 6.8% 6.6% 5.4% 2.3% 0.8%
Gregory Walters 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.0% 6.1% 6.7% 8.9% 11.7% 13.5% 16.9% 11.8%
Graham Ness 10.0% 9.1% 8.8% 7.9% 9.8% 10.3% 9.1% 8.5% 8.9% 9.0% 3.5% 4.2% 0.9%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.4% 10.7% 10.2% 10.2% 10.8% 11.2% 9.4% 8.4% 8.7% 4.2% 3.1% 1.9% 0.8%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.8% 5.8% 5.2% 8.3% 6.8% 7.4% 9.3% 10.7% 9.6% 10.4% 8.9% 7.6% 4.2%
Jacob Macdonald 4.6% 5.3% 4.4% 5.2% 6.4% 7.6% 8.5% 8.8% 9.9% 11.3% 10.7% 9.5% 7.8%
Luke Quine 2.1% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 4.2% 5.9% 9.6% 10.4% 14.4% 15.6% 17.8%
Nicholas Hardy 1.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 5.5% 8.8% 14.8% 16.7% 25.7%
Mott Blair 1.2% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 3.6% 4.3% 5.4% 7.6% 9.6% 11.6% 18.7% 28.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.