Race 13A

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 19.9% 17.7% 16.1% 12.1% 11.7% 6.6% 6.5% 3.4% 3.2% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Perham Black 8.5% 10.7% 9.6% 8.8% 10.9% 9.0% 9.3% 10.2% 8.5% 7.1% 3.0% 3.5% 0.9%
Ted Bjerregaard 5.0% 5.5% 6.6% 7.9% 6.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.4% 10.6% 12.1% 9.5% 5.8% 3.8%
Connor Sheridan 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 8.7% 9.5% 9.6% 9.5% 8.9% 8.9% 8.3% 6.5% 3.6% 1.7%
Gregory Walters 3.7% 3.1% 3.9% 4.6% 4.6% 6.4% 5.7% 6.9% 8.0% 11.7% 14.0% 13.5% 13.9%
Graham Ness 8.9% 9.8% 8.8% 8.8% 10.2% 8.9% 10.7% 8.2% 7.9% 6.8% 5.9% 4.3% 0.8%
Jonas Nelle 12.5% 12.6% 12.2% 12.1% 9.5% 10.4% 8.1% 8.4% 6.2% 3.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Nathan Olmsted 11.1% 12.1% 11.8% 11.1% 8.8% 11.7% 10.4% 8.9% 5.9% 4.1% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5%
Jacob Macdonald 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 6.2% 6.5% 6.9% 9.2% 12.6% 10.4% 11.7% 10.0% 7.5%
Joshua Bartoszuk 11.9% 9.6% 10.3% 12.1% 10.4% 8.1% 8.6% 8.9% 7.5% 5.7% 3.1% 3.0% 0.8%
Mott Blair 2.1% 1.7% 2.8% 2.7% 4.2% 4.9% 4.4% 5.9% 7.7% 9.3% 13.4% 17.5% 23.4%
Nicholas Hardy 1.8% 2.3% 1.9% 2.9% 4.0% 3.7% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 9.0% 12.0% 21.0% 23.9%
Luke Quine 2.2% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.1% 5.0% 6.1% 7.2% 6.1% 9.7% 15.2% 15.1% 22.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.