Race 14A

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Aidan Hoogland 20.7% 16.9% 15.3% 12.0% 10.6% 9.4% 5.6% 4.3% 2.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Jonas Nelle 11.4% 13.4% 11.5% 11.0% 11.8% 10.1% 9.4% 6.2% 7.4% 3.5% 2.4% 1.8% 0.1%
Perham Black 7.9% 9.1% 10.4% 10.5% 9.6% 9.2% 9.6% 9.8% 8.3% 6.8% 4.9% 3.3% 0.6%
Nathan Olmsted 11.5% 11.0% 10.9% 12.4% 9.5% 10.5% 8.6% 8.6% 6.5% 5.6% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Graham Ness 9.4% 9.0% 9.3% 8.7% 9.4% 8.6% 10.8% 9.5% 8.3% 7.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.2%
Joshua Bartoszuk 10.4% 11.8% 10.8% 10.4% 10.9% 11.6% 7.1% 8.1% 7.1% 4.6% 5.3% 1.4% 0.5%
Ted Bjerregaard 6.8% 6.9% 6.7% 6.9% 6.6% 6.8% 9.5% 9.2% 11.0% 10.6% 8.5% 7.2% 3.3%
Gregory Walters 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 4.8% 3.7% 6.6% 7.6% 9.8% 11.4% 11.7% 16.7% 13.3%
Connor Sheridan 7.4% 8.2% 8.4% 8.9% 10.3% 9.7% 9.0% 10.5% 7.9% 8.2% 5.9% 4.0% 1.6%
Jacob Macdonald 5.9% 4.5% 3.9% 6.1% 5.7% 6.7% 9.3% 8.8% 9.7% 9.4% 13.1% 8.3% 8.6%
Luke Quine 2.4% 2.0% 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.3% 6.5% 9.0% 9.8% 14.7% 16.0% 17.5%
Nicholas Hardy 1.6% 1.9% 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 4.5% 5.6% 6.7% 9.9% 13.0% 17.1% 25.4%
Mott Blair 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 2.1% 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 5.9% 11.0% 11.1% 19.6% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.