Race 1B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Lachlain McGranahan 32.9% 22.3% 16.0% 10.6% 6.8% 4.8% 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Matt Budington 8.7% 11.6% 10.8% 9.1% 10.8% 10.7% 9.6% 10.1% 6.1% 6.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Nicholas Reeser 12.2% 13.5% 13.5% 12.7% 11.2% 11.0% 8.0% 6.2% 5.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Henry Lee 5.6% 6.0% 8.8% 8.7% 8.3% 8.2% 9.6% 10.9% 9.8% 8.9% 7.4% 5.3% 1.7% 0.8%
Nathan Selian 2.2% 4.4% 4.3% 5.1% 7.1% 6.8% 7.7% 7.7% 9.2% 11.9% 10.9% 11.6% 8.5% 2.6%
Gavin Sanborn 1.9% 1.9% 2.3% 3.5% 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 6.0% 8.5% 11.5% 11.0% 14.9% 14.6% 12.1%
John Walton 10.0% 11.4% 10.4% 11.5% 11.2% 11.0% 9.7% 7.9% 7.6% 3.6% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Olivia Mitchell 1.4% 1.4% 1.8% 2.2% 3.1% 2.6% 3.5% 3.2% 5.6% 6.8% 9.2% 10.7% 19.1% 29.4%
Teagan Cunningham 3.1% 2.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.7% 4.7% 6.8% 7.8% 9.9% 12.0% 13.5% 13.0% 8.8% 5.7%
Bryan Trammell 6.6% 6.5% 8.6% 10.7% 10.6% 9.8% 10.6% 9.0% 8.8% 8.2% 6.2% 2.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Adrian van der Wal 8.9% 10.3% 11.1% 10.6% 10.0% 11.7% 9.5% 8.6% 6.5% 6.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Benjamin Stevens 3.7% 4.6% 5.7% 7.6% 7.8% 8.3% 11.2% 10.6% 8.3% 9.2% 9.6% 7.2% 4.2% 2.0%
Lewis Bragg 1.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 4.0% 6.2% 4.5% 7.8% 12.8% 21.0% 31.8%
William Davis 1.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 3.1% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 7.1% 7.4% 11.8% 15.8% 18.3% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.