Race 2B

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 8.1% 10.6% 9.3% 13.9% 11.2% 11.4% 10.7% 8.2% 7.6% 5.9% 1.4% 1.4% 0.3%
Nathan Selian 3.6% 3.9% 5.6% 5.1% 7.8% 5.1% 9.8% 12.4% 11.9% 13.1% 10.7% 7.3% 3.7%
Bryan Trammell 7.0% 8.5% 8.9% 9.1% 11.1% 12.2% 11.0% 11.2% 8.6% 6.7% 4.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 2.1% 2.3% 2.7% 3.6% 4.7% 5.4% 5.3% 7.9% 10.6% 12.1% 16.5% 17.7% 9.1%
John Walton 10.2% 11.0% 11.2% 11.5% 11.8% 11.2% 10.2% 9.5% 5.7% 4.0% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Lachlain McGranahan 35.0% 22.8% 16.4% 9.8% 7.4% 4.7% 2.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Mitchell 1.2% 2.3% 1.4% 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.8% 7.9% 8.4% 13.5% 21.3% 27.0%
Teagan Cunningham 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 4.6% 4.8% 5.8% 8.4% 10.1% 12.4% 13.7% 13.5% 9.9% 5.5%
Adrian van der Wal 10.2% 10.1% 11.9% 12.3% 10.6% 12.9% 9.5% 7.5% 7.8% 4.2% 1.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Lewis Bragg 1.0% 1.0% 2.1% 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 9.2% 14.0% 17.6% 34.6%
Henry Lee 6.1% 7.3% 9.4% 9.7% 11.1% 10.4% 11.3% 9.9% 8.8% 7.6% 5.7% 1.8% 0.9%
William Davis 1.5% 1.1% 3.1% 2.0% 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.3% 8.5% 12.1% 15.0% 19.4% 18.5%
Nicholas Reeser 11.4% 15.3% 13.1% 13.8% 11.6% 11.0% 8.6% 7.2% 3.9% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.