Race 3B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 9.0% 9.0% 11.8% 11.1% 11.1% 11.6% 9.7% 10.4% 7.7% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Nicholas Reeser 12.3% 13.6% 13.5% 15.1% 12.5% 9.8% 8.1% 6.8% 4.3% 2.1% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
John Walton 7.6% 10.6% 13.3% 10.6% 12.2% 12.1% 10.6% 8.6% 6.9% 4.6% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Lachlain McGranahan 34.3% 22.4% 16.7% 10.9% 8.0% 4.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Adrian van der Wal 10.9% 11.7% 12.0% 11.4% 11.0% 10.0% 13.2% 7.4% 6.4% 3.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Bryan Trammell 7.3% 9.5% 9.4% 10.7% 10.0% 12.4% 10.2% 9.8% 7.7% 7.1% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2%
Teagan Cunningham 3.9% 3.2% 3.5% 5.3% 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 10.2% 12.6% 12.5% 14.6% 9.9% 4.9%
Lewis Bragg 0.6% 1.9% 2.1% 1.4% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 3.2% 6.8% 10.0% 13.3% 20.1% 32.1%
Henry Lee 5.9% 7.4% 7.9% 8.2% 11.0% 10.7% 9.7% 12.4% 9.8% 8.2% 5.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Nathan Selian 4.2% 5.3% 3.2% 5.7% 6.3% 7.2% 11.8% 10.4% 11.1% 12.4% 9.6% 8.2% 4.6%
Gavin Sanborn 2.0% 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.0% 6.8% 7.8% 11.6% 14.5% 14.4% 14.9% 8.6%
William Davis 1.1% 1.9% 2.4% 2.8% 2.4% 4.9% 5.3% 6.0% 7.4% 11.5% 16.4% 18.6% 19.3%
Olivia Mitchell 0.9% 1.4% 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 2.5% 3.5% 5.8% 7.2% 8.9% 14.2% 21.4% 28.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.