Race 4B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adrian van der Wal 8.8% 10.7% 13.9% 11.6% 10.4% 11.8% 11.6% 7.3% 7.9% 3.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Lachlain McGranahan 33.1% 24.9% 14.7% 11.9% 6.9% 4.0% 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Walton 9.3% 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% 11.2% 13.4% 9.4% 9.2% 7.1% 3.5% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 2.9% 3.6% 5.8% 5.0% 6.6% 7.8% 10.3% 11.3% 10.5% 13.0% 12.9% 6.6% 3.7%
Teagan Cunningham 2.8% 3.7% 3.7% 5.4% 7.1% 7.3% 7.0% 9.4% 11.8% 12.6% 12.9% 10.7% 5.6%
Gavin Sanborn 1.9% 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.8% 3.8% 7.5% 7.8% 9.7% 15.9% 14.1% 14.7% 10.7%
Lewis Bragg 1.4% 1.5% 1.3% 2.2% 2.5% 3.3% 3.3% 4.0% 6.4% 9.3% 12.0% 21.0% 31.8%
William Davis 1.7% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.5% 4.1% 4.7% 6.4% 9.4% 12.7% 14.3% 19.2% 16.8%
Bryan Trammell 7.5% 8.4% 9.2% 9.5% 10.5% 11.3% 10.2% 10.2% 9.2% 6.9% 5.0% 1.4% 0.7%
Henry Lee 7.1% 7.4% 6.5% 9.8% 10.3% 10.3% 10.0% 10.9% 9.5% 9.3% 5.7% 2.6% 0.6%
Matt Budington 9.6% 10.7% 12.3% 11.3% 12.5% 8.8% 11.5% 9.1% 6.3% 3.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
Olivia Mitchell 0.9% 0.9% 2.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 3.9% 5.5% 7.1% 8.1% 14.3% 21.0% 29.6%
Nicholas Reeser 13.0% 12.8% 13.2% 13.1% 12.6% 11.7% 8.4% 7.2% 4.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.