Race 5B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Selian 3.2% 4.4% 4.1% 5.2% 8.3% 7.8% 8.8% 9.9% 13.0% 12.6% 11.9% 7.8% 3.0%
John Walton 9.4% 10.6% 12.0% 11.5% 13.6% 10.6% 10.0% 8.4% 6.4% 4.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.1%
Matt Budington 7.5% 10.1% 12.5% 11.0% 11.7% 10.9% 11.2% 9.4% 7.3% 5.0% 2.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Adrian van der Wal 10.7% 10.2% 12.0% 14.1% 9.4% 11.3% 10.8% 9.0% 5.8% 4.3% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Lachlain McGranahan 34.2% 22.2% 16.8% 12.0% 6.4% 4.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 1.7% 3.1% 3.1% 3.7% 4.0% 5.1% 6.7% 9.3% 9.9% 12.1% 16.1% 15.3% 9.9%
Nicholas Reeser 14.9% 12.3% 14.0% 13.2% 13.0% 10.2% 8.1% 6.6% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 2.4% 4.5% 3.3% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 7.7% 10.4% 12.1% 14.1% 13.9% 9.5% 5.0%
Henry Lee 6.5% 7.0% 7.4% 9.8% 8.6% 10.6% 12.4% 10.1% 10.2% 8.5% 6.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Olivia Mitchell 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 3.1% 6.0% 6.8% 9.7% 13.8% 20.6% 27.6%
Bryan Trammell 7.0% 10.9% 9.1% 9.2% 12.0% 11.1% 11.6% 9.7% 8.3% 6.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5%
Lewis Bragg 0.5% 1.0% 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 9.0% 12.8% 20.4% 35.1%
William Davis 1.0% 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 3.3% 4.4% 4.0% 6.1% 10.5% 10.8% 16.9% 19.3% 17.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.