Race 6B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 8.1% 11.4% 10.7% 10.4% 12.6% 10.9% 10.8% 9.8% 7.5% 4.3% 2.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Adrian van der Wal 10.0% 10.1% 11.6% 12.7% 11.6% 11.4% 10.4% 8.5% 6.2% 5.0% 1.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Nicholas Reeser 11.3% 15.3% 13.9% 11.9% 13.0% 11.8% 8.4% 6.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 7.9% 7.5% 10.0% 10.3% 9.9% 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 7.0% 7.3% 4.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Lachlain McGranahan 33.5% 23.6% 16.2% 11.6% 6.6% 4.7% 1.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Walton 10.0% 10.5% 10.3% 12.9% 12.1% 12.5% 8.5% 8.5% 7.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 3.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.7% 6.1% 5.5% 5.2% 6.4% 10.3% 14.0% 14.6% 16.9% 9.5%
Henry Lee 7.1% 7.1% 8.9% 8.2% 9.2% 10.6% 12.3% 11.6% 9.9% 7.2% 4.5% 2.7% 0.7%
Teagan Cunningham 3.0% 4.1% 3.8% 4.2% 5.2% 5.4% 8.4% 9.4% 12.1% 14.2% 14.4% 9.7% 6.1%
Olivia Mitchell 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 2.7% 5.6% 7.7% 9.7% 13.8% 21.5% 26.2%
Nathan Selian 2.9% 4.1% 6.1% 7.7% 6.5% 7.3% 10.0% 10.8% 12.4% 11.3% 11.7% 6.1% 3.1%
Lewis Bragg 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 4.7% 3.1% 6.0% 8.3% 13.4% 19.8% 35.6%
William Davis 1.4% 1.6% 2.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.0% 5.5% 7.1% 8.3% 12.0% 16.5% 19.1% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.