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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.82vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.44+2.13vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+0.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.60-1.29vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.73-0.21vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Georgetown University2.4024.4%1st Place
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4.13George Washington University1.448.5%1st Place
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3.72Old Dominion University1.5911.7%1st Place
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2.71U. S. Naval Academy2.6026.7%1st Place
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4.79Christopher Newport University0.735.0%1st Place
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2.82St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 24.4% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 11.8% | 4.7% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.8% | 25.1% | 24.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 19.4% | 23.5% | 14.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 26.7% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 4.0% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 19.8% | 47.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.8% | 23.6% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 10.4% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.