Race 7B

hewitt

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nathan Selian 3.3% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 7.6% 8.9% 8.6% 10.0% 11.9% 14.9% 10.7% 7.5% 3.0%
Adrian van der Wal 9.9% 9.3% 13.3% 12.8% 11.8% 11.2% 9.6% 8.6% 6.7% 3.9% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2%
John Walton 7.9% 10.7% 13.3% 11.1% 12.3% 10.9% 10.8% 9.0% 6.6% 5.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Nicholas Reeser 11.7% 15.3% 13.3% 13.0% 12.3% 11.3% 8.4% 7.2% 4.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.2%
Matt Budington 9.2% 10.5% 10.7% 10.6% 11.1% 10.4% 11.8% 11.1% 6.6% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3%
Lachlain McGranahan 34.1% 23.6% 16.3% 11.2% 6.4% 4.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 3.4% 4.4% 3.8% 4.9% 6.3% 5.0% 8.8% 10.1% 10.8% 13.9% 12.9% 11.2% 4.5%
Gavin Sanborn 2.0% 3.3% 3.3% 3.6% 2.9% 5.1% 7.2% 6.9% 10.5% 13.3% 18.6% 13.9% 9.4%
Olivia Mitchell 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 1.5% 2.6% 3.4% 2.9% 5.0% 7.5% 9.4% 13.5% 20.9% 28.4%
Henry Lee 7.6% 5.8% 6.4% 10.6% 11.5% 10.0% 10.6% 10.7% 10.5% 7.0% 6.0% 2.3% 1.0%
Bryan Trammell 7.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.7% 11.1% 12.7% 10.0% 10.2% 8.9% 5.0% 3.3% 1.5% 0.5%
William Davis 1.0% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 2.5% 5.0% 5.3% 5.5% 8.9% 12.1% 15.2% 18.7% 18.8%
Lewis Bragg 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 3.3% 4.5% 6.3% 9.0% 13.6% 21.3% 33.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.