Race 8B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lachlain McGranahan 32.0% 25.9% 14.9% 11.4% 7.2% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Olivia Mitchell 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 2.0% 2.8% 2.7% 4.6% 4.9% 6.8% 7.9% 14.3% 21.1% 28.5%
Nicholas Reeser 12.3% 13.6% 15.5% 12.1% 10.9% 12.8% 8.7% 6.5% 3.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
John Walton 9.7% 9.8% 11.8% 11.1% 13.2% 11.5% 9.7% 9.1% 6.2% 4.4% 2.8% 0.5% 0.2%
Matt Budington 9.6% 10.1% 11.2% 11.7% 10.9% 11.1% 10.9% 8.5% 7.7% 4.0% 2.4% 1.7% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 3.5% 4.9% 5.3% 4.4% 7.7% 7.4% 9.5% 12.6% 12.2% 12.2% 8.7% 8.1% 3.5%
Teagan Cunningham 4.1% 3.5% 3.6% 5.0% 6.5% 7.5% 6.3% 8.0% 12.9% 14.2% 12.0% 10.4% 6.0%
William Davis 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 3.4% 3.2% 3.4% 5.1% 7.4% 7.1% 12.8% 17.6% 18.7% 15.2%
Bryan Trammell 7.7% 8.3% 7.8% 10.7% 10.3% 11.9% 11.4% 10.8% 8.1% 6.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.4%
Adrian van der Wal 10.1% 10.1% 12.9% 12.8% 11.7% 9.3% 9.8% 8.7% 6.2% 4.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Gavin Sanborn 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 4.7% 5.2% 4.7% 6.6% 8.6% 10.8% 13.1% 15.1% 13.5% 10.4%
Henry Lee 5.4% 7.2% 8.6% 8.7% 9.2% 10.6% 11.4% 9.5% 11.4% 8.7% 5.9% 2.4% 1.0%
Lewis Bragg 1.1% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 1.2% 2.7% 3.3% 4.3% 6.6% 9.1% 13.2% 20.4% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.