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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.33+4.21vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.26+3.40vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.83+6.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.63+0.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.36+2.57vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.54-3.33vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.36-1.96vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.08-2.13vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.14-0.60vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25+0.35vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.91-4.86vs Predicted
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12The Citadel0.11-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.57-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.4Boston College2.260.1%1st Place
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9.22University of Vermont0.830.0%1st Place
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4.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.630.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University1.360.0%1st Place
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2.67Harvard University3.540.3%1st Place
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5.04Northeastern University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College1.140.0%1st Place
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10.35Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Rhode Island1.910.1%1st Place
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10.76The Citadel0.110.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Wisconsin0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Walton | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Budington | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Sanborn | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 9.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 11.8% | 15.3% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 1.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 32.5% | 24.7% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adrian van der Wal | 11.7% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Teagan Cunningham | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 20.0% | 26.9% |
| Henry Lee | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 19.3% | 35.0% |
| William Davis | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 16.4% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.