← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
John Walton 9.3% 11.3% 10.6% 12.6% 11.1% 11.4% 11.8% 8.2% 6.7% 3.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.0%
Matt Budington 9.1% 9.3% 10.8% 13.7% 9.7% 11.0% 10.9% 9.1% 7.6% 5.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Gavin Sanborn 2.4% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 4.4% 5.8% 6.9% 8.0% 10.6% 12.9% 16.6% 16.3% 9.9%
Nicholas Reeser 11.8% 15.3% 13.4% 13.2% 12.6% 11.5% 8.3% 6.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Nathan Selian 4.4% 4.6% 4.6% 7.5% 6.3% 6.6% 9.9% 10.4% 13.7% 11.7% 9.9% 8.8% 1.6%
Lachlain McGranahan 32.5% 24.7% 16.8% 10.8% 7.1% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Adrian van der Wal 11.7% 10.0% 13.0% 10.2% 13.0% 11.5% 8.1% 9.8% 6.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 6.3% 8.3% 10.1% 9.8% 12.8% 10.8% 10.6% 11.3% 8.8% 4.8% 4.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Teagan Cunningham 2.9% 3.7% 4.1% 3.5% 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 8.5% 12.8% 14.9% 13.7% 9.9% 6.3%
Olivia Mitchell 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.3% 6.2% 11.9% 14.8% 20.0% 26.9%
Henry Lee 6.3% 7.3% 9.2% 9.8% 8.7% 12.5% 11.4% 11.7% 8.0% 7.6% 4.5% 1.9% 1.1%
Lewis Bragg 0.7% 1.4% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.6% 3.6% 4.6% 6.2% 8.8% 13.2% 19.3% 35.0%
William Davis 1.3% 1.2% 2.7% 2.3% 3.4% 2.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.8% 13.3% 16.4% 18.5% 18.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.