Race 10B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 7.9% 9.9% 12.7% 11.0% 11.9% 9.8% 12.4% 8.3% 6.5% 5.4% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Lachlain McGranahan 31.4% 26.8% 14.7% 12.6% 6.7% 3.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 2.3% 3.3% 3.2% 4.7% 6.3% 6.6% 8.3% 10.3% 10.4% 14.1% 14.7% 10.4% 5.4%
Gavin Sanborn 2.0% 2.0% 3.3% 3.7% 4.3% 5.3% 6.1% 8.3% 12.0% 9.9% 16.2% 15.7% 11.2%
Nathan Selian 4.4% 3.8% 5.0% 7.4% 5.8% 8.8% 7.5% 10.8% 10.1% 14.8% 11.1% 7.2% 3.3%
Nicholas Reeser 14.0% 14.4% 13.6% 13.7% 11.7% 10.3% 9.1% 5.1% 4.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Henry Lee 7.7% 6.2% 9.3% 7.8% 9.8% 12.0% 8.7% 11.2% 11.8% 8.1% 4.4% 2.5% 0.5%
Lewis Bragg 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 2.9% 4.4% 5.6% 9.0% 13.4% 20.2% 33.4%
Adrian van der Wal 9.8% 9.5% 13.4% 9.9% 13.4% 12.6% 10.3% 7.0% 7.1% 3.5% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
John Walton 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 12.9% 11.2% 11.4% 9.7% 8.6% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 4.9% 6.2% 6.8% 10.5% 14.5% 19.6% 25.5%
William Davis 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 3.1% 2.6% 3.8% 5.1% 7.9% 8.6% 10.2% 14.0% 19.4% 19.8%
Bryan Trammell 6.4% 8.6% 9.6% 8.9% 11.1% 9.8% 11.8% 11.1% 10.0% 7.5% 3.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.