Race 11B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matt Budington 8.5% 8.8% 13.1% 11.3% 11.1% 10.9% 10.8% 10.2% 6.8% 4.6% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2%
John Walton 9.0% 10.1% 11.3% 13.6% 10.9% 11.9% 9.4% 10.0% 6.9% 3.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Henry Lee 5.9% 6.8% 7.8% 9.7% 9.2% 11.4% 10.5% 11.4% 10.1% 8.1% 5.9% 2.7% 0.5%
Lachlain McGranahan 33.1% 24.0% 14.5% 12.6% 7.3% 4.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 4.1% 3.0% 3.3% 4.3% 7.7% 6.6% 7.4% 8.8% 11.3% 14.7% 13.2% 10.1% 5.5%
Adrian van der Wal 9.5% 12.4% 13.3% 11.4% 10.8% 11.6% 9.9% 7.1% 7.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Bryan Trammell 8.8% 8.7% 9.3% 7.7% 11.4% 10.6% 12.6% 9.9% 9.0% 7.0% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Lewis Bragg 0.5% 2.0% 2.0% 1.3% 3.0% 2.9% 2.7% 4.0% 5.5% 9.0% 15.4% 20.0% 31.7%
Nicholas Reeser 12.8% 13.7% 13.0% 13.2% 13.5% 11.0% 7.9% 6.7% 4.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 2.3% 3.2% 2.6% 3.5% 3.3% 4.9% 7.0% 8.3% 11.1% 12.1% 16.0% 14.3% 11.4%
Nathan Selian 3.6% 3.9% 6.2% 7.1% 6.1% 7.3% 10.1% 11.5% 12.9% 11.1% 10.8% 6.3% 3.1%
William Davis 1.0% 2.0% 2.4% 2.1% 3.0% 4.2% 6.2% 5.5% 8.0% 11.9% 15.2% 19.1% 19.4%
Olivia Mitchell 0.9% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 2.7% 1.9% 3.6% 5.5% 6.1% 10.8% 11.9% 23.9% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.