Race 12B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Nicholas Reeser 12.3% 14.2% 13.7% 13.1% 14.1% 9.6% 8.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
John Walton 9.6% 10.8% 10.6% 12.5% 12.9% 11.4% 9.2% 8.7% 6.6% 5.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Lachlain McGranahan 32.9% 22.0% 17.7% 12.7% 6.2% 5.0% 1.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 2.0% 1.5% 3.4% 3.2% 4.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.4% 11.8% 11.5% 15.0% 17.0% 10.3%
Adrian van der Wal 9.5% 13.7% 11.9% 10.9% 11.0% 11.0% 10.9% 8.2% 6.1% 4.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Henry Lee 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 11.1% 11.4% 7.9% 8.3% 5.1% 2.9% 0.7%
Matt Budington 10.0% 10.0% 11.7% 10.7% 11.4% 10.8% 10.0% 9.3% 8.2% 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Bryan Trammell 7.3% 9.1% 9.7% 10.0% 9.7% 11.2% 12.9% 11.7% 7.4% 5.4% 3.2% 1.9% 0.5%
Teagan Cunningham 3.3% 3.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.6% 6.4% 8.3% 11.1% 11.8% 12.3% 14.0% 10.0% 6.6%
Olivia Mitchell 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 2.9% 2.0% 3.4% 3.6% 4.8% 7.2% 10.4% 13.3% 21.5% 26.6%
William Davis 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 4.4% 5.2% 5.2% 5.6% 10.3% 13.9% 16.1% 16.4% 15.3%
Nathan Selian 2.9% 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 7.0% 7.5% 8.7% 10.5% 11.2% 13.3% 13.1% 7.4% 4.2%
Lewis Bragg 0.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 3.9% 6.7% 8.7% 12.6% 20.6% 35.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.