Race 13B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lachlain McGranahan 31.9% 23.9% 15.7% 13.3% 6.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Gavin Sanborn 1.9% 2.6% 3.5% 2.8% 4.5% 5.4% 7.0% 6.4% 8.6% 13.6% 15.8% 17.2% 10.7%
Matt Budington 7.9% 10.3% 10.6% 11.2% 12.1% 12.5% 10.9% 9.2% 7.4% 4.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 2.9% 3.8% 4.6% 7.2% 6.6% 7.4% 9.3% 10.9% 13.0% 11.2% 12.3% 7.0% 3.8%
Olivia Mitchell 1.7% 1.9% 1.6% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 4.0% 5.3% 6.2% 10.1% 14.5% 20.3% 27.1%
Adrian van der Wal 11.1% 10.9% 11.7% 12.1% 12.3% 11.6% 8.7% 8.7% 4.8% 5.5% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Nicholas Reeser 13.2% 15.0% 14.8% 12.3% 11.5% 9.9% 9.0% 5.7% 4.6% 3.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Henry Lee 6.0% 8.8% 8.7% 9.0% 7.9% 11.6% 10.0% 12.7% 10.9% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6%
Bryan Trammell 7.4% 7.7% 9.6% 9.5% 11.7% 11.6% 11.0% 10.0% 9.3% 6.5% 3.3% 2.1% 0.3%
John Walton 11.1% 9.2% 12.1% 12.2% 13.4% 9.1% 9.8% 8.3% 7.1% 3.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.6%
Lewis Bragg 1.1% 1.0% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 5.3% 6.5% 9.1% 13.9% 18.5% 31.8%
Teagan Cunningham 2.0% 3.4% 4.7% 4.5% 5.8% 6.5% 6.9% 9.9% 12.4% 13.4% 13.6% 10.6% 6.3%
William Davis 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 3.6% 6.2% 6.6% 8.8% 11.7% 15.0% 19.5% 18.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.