Race 14B

hewitt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lachlain McGranahan 32.9% 22.9% 17.1% 12.1% 6.8% 4.1% 2.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adrian van der Wal 10.4% 11.0% 11.5% 11.9% 13.6% 9.7% 10.5% 7.2% 7.7% 3.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Matt Budington 8.3% 10.3% 10.3% 11.2% 11.0% 10.1% 12.9% 9.9% 7.2% 6.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 2.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 6.3% 6.9% 7.3% 10.2% 11.5% 13.5% 14.3% 10.2% 5.8%
Gavin Sanborn 3.0% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 4.2% 4.9% 6.3% 7.9% 11.1% 13.3% 15.6% 14.4% 9.9%
Nathan Selian 2.7% 5.5% 5.5% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 8.0% 11.5% 12.4% 11.8% 10.9% 8.0% 3.0%
John Walton 10.4% 11.3% 10.9% 12.0% 11.2% 12.1% 10.3% 7.7% 6.3% 4.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Nicholas Reeser 13.2% 13.1% 13.8% 14.1% 12.4% 12.9% 7.9% 5.9% 3.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Henry Lee 6.5% 6.4% 8.6% 7.7% 9.4% 11.6% 11.1% 10.9% 9.1% 9.4% 5.0% 3.7% 0.6%
Olivia Mitchell 1.1% 1.1% 2.1% 2.3% 2.9% 3.0% 2.8% 5.7% 6.8% 10.1% 15.5% 19.1% 27.5%
Bryan Trammell 7.0% 10.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.4% 10.4% 11.8% 10.1% 8.7% 5.3% 3.4% 1.7% 0.3%
Lewis Bragg 0.5% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 4.0% 4.8% 6.7% 7.8% 11.5% 21.6% 34.8%
William Davis 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 4.9% 7.0% 8.7% 12.0% 16.7% 18.6% 18.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.