← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston2.38+2.25vs Predicted
-
2University of Miami1.64+2.14vs Predicted
-
3Rollins College0.95+2.31vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.12+1.09vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.17-0.38vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University1.45-1.90vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida1.45-2.54vs Predicted
-
8Florida State University0.12-0.97vs Predicted
-
9The Citadel0.19-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.25College of Charleston2.3822.8%1st Place
-
4.14University of Miami1.6414.4%1st Place
-
5.31Rollins College0.958.7%1st Place
-
5.09North Carolina State University1.129.1%1st Place
-
4.62Eckerd College1.1711.2%1st Place
-
4.1Jacksonville University1.4514.2%1st Place
-
4.46University of South Florida1.4513.4%1st Place
-
7.03Florida State University0.122.9%1st Place
-
6.99The Citadel0.193.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benjamin Dufour | 22.8% | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Steven Hardee | 14.4% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
Milo Miller | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 8.2% |
Benjamin Usher | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 6.2% |
Jordan Vieira | 11.2% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.9% |
Hank Seum | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
Zachariah Schemel | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 2.9% |
Kamron Kaiser | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 36.7% |
Kenneth Buck | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 20.4% | 36.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.