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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+0.30vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.07+0.20vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois-2.42+0.27vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-2.13-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3University of Illinois1.490.7%1st Place
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2.2Miami University0.070.2%1st Place
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3.16Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.27University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
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4.07University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 74.8% | 20.3% | 4.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katy Schroeder | 16.9% | 52.9% | 24.0% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.6% | 16.9% | 42.4% | 26.4% | 8.7% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.3% | 3.8% | 13.0% | 30.0% | 51.9% |
| Collin Kemper | 1.4% | 6.1% | 16.1% | 37.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.