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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame-2.13+3.02vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois1.49-0.71vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.17vs Predicted
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4Miami University0.07-1.76vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.42-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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1.29University of Illinois1.490.8%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.24Miami University0.070.2%1st Place
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4.28University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Kemper | 1.7% | 6.5% | 17.4% | 36.6% | 37.8% |
| Tarkan Bolat | 75.4% | 20.6% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.4% | 16.3% | 43.1% | 26.4% | 8.8% |
| Katy Schroeder | 16.5% | 51.7% | 24.3% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.0% | 4.9% | 11.6% | 30.3% | 52.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.