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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.60+1.75vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.40+0.74vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+0.77vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-1.23vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.44-0.80vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75U. S. Naval Academy2.6024.1%1st Place
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2.74Georgetown University2.4025.7%1st Place
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3.77Old Dominion University1.5911.2%1st Place
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2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5723.8%1st Place
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4.2George Washington University1.448.8%1st Place
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4.77Christopher Newport University0.736.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Smith | 24.1% | 24.3% | 21.1% | 16.8% | 10.1% | 3.6% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.7% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.2% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 23.8% | 14.8% |
| Owen Hennessey | 23.8% | 24.1% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.8% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 25.4% | 25.9% |
| Joshua Bendura | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.