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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+0.30vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.07+0.20vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-1.11+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-2.13+0.06vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.42-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3University of Illinois1.490.7%1st Place
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2.2Miami University0.070.2%1st Place
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3.16Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 74.7% | 20.9% | 4.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katy Schroeder | 17.0% | 53.2% | 23.5% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.6% | 17.1% | 41.5% | 27.3% | 8.5% |
| Collin Kemper | 1.5% | 4.7% | 18.4% | 37.1% | 38.3% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.2% | 4.1% | 12.4% | 29.6% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.