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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois1.49+0.29vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-1.11+1.17vs Predicted
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3Miami University0.07-0.79vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame-2.13+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois-2.42-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.29University of Illinois1.490.7%1st Place
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3.17Marquette University-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.21Miami University0.070.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Illinois-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarkan Bolat | 74.7% | 21.8% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Etain McKinney | 5.0% | 16.4% | 42.7% | 28.4% | 7.5% |
| Katy Schroeder | 17.7% | 51.4% | 24.0% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Collin Kemper | 1.5% | 6.0% | 17.1% | 36.8% | 38.6% |
| Katie Benstead | 1.1% | 4.4% | 12.8% | 28.7% | 53.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.