← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+2.40vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+1.55vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.82vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University1.52+0.83vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.08-1.13vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.37vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University1.96-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
-
3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
-
3.82University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
-
4.83Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.87U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
-
4.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
-
3.89Georgetown University1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 21.0% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.0% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.8% |
| John Glenn | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 20.6% | 27.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 13.4% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 11.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 24.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 15.8% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 13.9% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.