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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.08+2.77vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+1.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+1.03vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+0.69vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.09-1.16vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-2.45vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.69St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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4.69Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Scheiblauer | 16.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Richard Gleason | 19.0% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 16.9% | 25.9% |
| Samuel Gavula | 13.4% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 10.6% |
| Keiran James Golden | 19.4% | 15.6% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
| John Glenn | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.