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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+1.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.60+0.68vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.44+1.16vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59-0.19vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40-2.29vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.73-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86St. Mary's College of Maryland2.5721.9%1st Place
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2.68U. S. Naval Academy2.6027.0%1st Place
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4.16George Washington University1.448.7%1st Place
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3.81Old Dominion University1.5911.3%1st Place
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2.71Georgetown University2.4025.4%1st Place
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4.77Christopher Newport University0.735.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Hennessey | 21.9% | 25.1% | 19.0% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Nathan Smith | 27.0% | 22.9% | 20.9% | 16.2% | 10.0% | 3.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 8.7% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 26.4% | 24.3% |
| Diogo Silva | 11.3% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 20.5% | 20.9% | 17.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 25.4% | 23.6% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 9.9% | 3.2% |
| Joshua Bendura | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 20.2% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.