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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.56vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.96+2.02vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-1.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08-2.20vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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4.02Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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3.87University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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3.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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4.67Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar MacGillivray | 10.5% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 23.7% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.6% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 13.6% |
| Keiran James Golden | 16.1% | 17.9% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 6.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.5% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.2% | 19.0% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 17.1% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
| John Glenn | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.