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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+2.51vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+1.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+1.05vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.09-2.20vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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3.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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4.05Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.84Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.85U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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4.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 19.9% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.9% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.8% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% |
| John Glenn | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 28.8% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 13.2% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 10.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 10.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.