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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+2.46vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+1.44vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-0.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08-2.18vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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4.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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4.83Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.82U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 20.3% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.9% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.4% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 9.3% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 25.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.7% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 10.9% |
| John Glenn | 7.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 18.1% | 28.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 15.1% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 9.9% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.9% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.