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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.09+1.79vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+0.55vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+0.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.08-1.12vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96-1.96vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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4.83Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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4.04Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 20.3% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.2% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.4% | 16.8% | 17.6% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.5% |
| John Glenn | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 29.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 13.4% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.4% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 21.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.