← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+3.55vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University1.96+2.04vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+0.47vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.08-0.10vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University1.52-0.17vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-2.45vs Predicted
-
7University of Pennsylvania2.09-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
-
4.04Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
-
3.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
-
3.9U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
-
4.83Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
-
3.66University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar MacGillivray | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 22.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.1% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 6.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 15.7% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| John Glenn | 7.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 28.9% |
| Keiran James Golden | 18.1% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Samuel Gavula | 17.8% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.