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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+2.37vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+1.50vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62+1.66vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.15vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96-0.90vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08-2.17vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.52-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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4.66St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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3.85University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.83U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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4.7Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 21.4% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.4% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 24.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.8% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 10.8% |
| Joe Coyne | 11.4% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 16.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 10.4% |
| John Glenn | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.