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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+2.47vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+1.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.08+0.84vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.09-0.12vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-0.17vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-1.37vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University1.96-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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3.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.84U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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3.88University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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4.83Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.63St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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3.88Georgetown University1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 19.6% | 18.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.0% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.1% | 17.6% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 15.5% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 11.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.3% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| John Glenn | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 27.5% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 24.6% |
| Joe Coyne | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 14.6% | 10.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.