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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.09+2.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.96+2.03vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+0.49vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+0.85vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-0.33vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-2.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.08-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.74University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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4.03Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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3.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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4.85Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.67St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
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3.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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3.68U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Gavula | 16.7% | 15.5% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.0% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 13.2% |
| Richard Gleason | 18.1% | 18.1% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 7.2% |
| John Glenn | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 19.8% | 28.0% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 24.0% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.6% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 18.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.