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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+2.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.08+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.83vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.96+0.10vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-0.18vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23-2.44vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.8U. S. Naval Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.82Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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4.49St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 20.8% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 14.9% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 14.4% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 10.7% |
| Joe Coyne | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| John Glenn | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 17.3% | 28.4% |
| Keiran James Golden | 18.7% | 16.6% | 17.1% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 8.1% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 10.5% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 17.4% | 17.4% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.