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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29+2.38vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+1.53vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.83vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.08-0.14vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-0.18vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.96-1.94vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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3.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Pennsylvania2.090.1%1st Place
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3.86U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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4.82Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University1.960.1%1st Place
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4.52St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Gleason | 20.6% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% |
| Keiran James Golden | 17.2% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 17.3% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 7.6% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.0% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 10.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 15.4% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% |
| John Glenn | 7.2% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 27.7% |
| Joe Coyne | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 14.6% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 18.7% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.