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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.23+2.40vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.63+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.09+0.73vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.29-0.56vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University1.52-0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.08-2.24vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.62-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.230.2%1st Place
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4.51Georgetown University1.630.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Pennsylvania2.090.2%1st Place
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3.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.290.2%1st Place
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4.74Old Dominion University1.520.1%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Naval Academy2.080.2%1st Place
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4.42St. Mary's College of Maryland1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keiran James Golden | 20.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% |
| John Patrick Panarella | 9.5% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 21.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 15.4% | 16.4% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| Richard Gleason | 19.6% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 6.0% |
| John Glenn | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 27.0% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 15.7% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 18.6% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 9.9% |
| Oscar MacGillivray | 11.1% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.